Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日AfD 89%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$519,257 Vol.
$519,257 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

左翼党
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

緑の党
<1%
AfD 89%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$519,257 Vol.
$519,257 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

左翼党
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

緑の党
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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