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ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者

Market icon

ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者

AfD 89%

CDU 9.3%

SPD <1%

左翼党 <1%

Polymarket

$519,257 Vol.

AfD 89%

CDU 9.3%

SPD <1%

左翼党 <1%

Polymarket

$519,257 Vol.

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AfD

$5,602 Vol.

89%

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CDU

$462,562 Vol.

9%

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SPD

$36,687 Vol.

1%

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左翼党

$2,332 Vol.

<1%

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BSW

$2,832 Vol.

<1%

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FDP

$6,340 Vol.

<1%

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緑の党

$2,902 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.

Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.

Recent INSA polling from March 17-24 shows the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, well ahead of the CDU at 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP below or near the 5% threshold, driving trader consensus toward AfD as the strongest force on September 6. This reflects stable AfD dominance in the eastern state despite a slight dip from January, while the incumbent CDU under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has failed to gain traction amid the party's firewall against AfD coalitions. Smaller parties' risks could redistribute seats further to AfD, though late shifts from national trends or scandals remain possible.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「AfD」で89%、次いで「CDU」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」は$519.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「AfD」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「CDU」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。