Trader consensus assigns a 93.6% implied probability to no handshake between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, driven by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. Russia boycotted the global peace summit in Switzerland on June 15-16, which Zelenskyy attended and used to rally support for Kyiv's positions on territorial integrity and security guarantees—demands Putin has dismissed as unacceptable alongside calls for Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality. Recent Russian advances near Kharkiv and Donetsk, coupled with Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets, show no de-escalation signals. Absent any announced bilateral talks or summits before the deadline, traders see insurmountable barriers to such a high-profile diplomatic gesture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 93.6% implied probability to no handshake between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, driven by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. Russia boycotted the global peace summit in Switzerland on June 15-16, which Zelenskyy attended and used to rally support for Kyiv's positions on territorial integrity and security guarantees—demands Putin has dismissed as unacceptable alongside calls for Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality. Recent Russian advances near Kharkiv and Donetsk, coupled with Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets, show no de-escalation signals. Absent any announced bilateral talks or summits before the deadline, traders see insurmountable barriers to such a high-profile diplomatic gesture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$5,043終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 93.6% implied probability to no handshake between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, driven by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. Russia boycotted the global peace summit in Switzerland on June 15-16, which Zelenskyy attended and used to rally support for Kyiv's positions on territorial integrity and security guarantees—demands Putin has dismissed as unacceptable alongside calls for Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality. Recent Russian advances near Kharkiv and Donetsk, coupled with Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets, show no de-escalation signals. Absent any announced bilateral talks or summits before the deadline, traders see insurmountable barriers to such a high-profile diplomatic gesture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,043終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 93.6% implied probability to no handshake between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, driven by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. Russia boycotted the global peace summit in Switzerland on June 15-16, which Zelenskyy attended and used to rally support for Kyiv's positions on territorial integrity and security guarantees—demands Putin has dismissed as unacceptable alongside calls for Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality. Recent Russian advances near Kharkiv and Donetsk, coupled with Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets, show no de-escalation signals. Absent any announced bilateral talks or summits before the deadline, traders see insurmountable barriers to such a high-profile diplomatic gesture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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