Trader consensus prices PPP securing 2 or 3 seats at nearly even odds in South Korea's June 3 National Assembly by-elections for six vacant districts, reflecting the party's persistent disarray and 17-19% approval ratings amid internal rifts over former President Yoon Suk Yeol's legacy and nomination committee turmoil. President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party boasts 60-69% approval and leads polls in most urban swing districts like Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, while PPP holds edges in conservative strongholds such as Daegu, creating a tight contest for the marginal seats. Recent candidate selection shakeups and low expected turnout could favor PPP incumbency advantages, but DP unity or scandals involving PPP leadership might tip the balance before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2 40%
3 39%
5 10.9%
0 9%
$19,721 Vol.
$19,721 Vol.
0
9%
1
7%
2
40%
3
39%
4
8%
5
6%
6以上
1%
2 40%
3 39%
5 10.9%
0 9%
$19,721 Vol.
$19,721 Vol.
0
9%
1
7%
2
40%
3
39%
4
8%
5
6%
6以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices PPP securing 2 or 3 seats at nearly even odds in South Korea's June 3 National Assembly by-elections for six vacant districts, reflecting the party's persistent disarray and 17-19% approval ratings amid internal rifts over former President Yoon Suk Yeol's legacy and nomination committee turmoil. President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party boasts 60-69% approval and leads polls in most urban swing districts like Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, while PPP holds edges in conservative strongholds such as Daegu, creating a tight contest for the marginal seats. Recent candidate selection shakeups and low expected turnout could favor PPP incumbency advantages, but DP unity or scandals involving PPP leadership might tip the balance before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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