Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP winning 2 or 3 seats out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, at 33.5% and 36%, reflecting the party's dismal national approval ratings around 19% amid ongoing internal nomination disputes, such as the controversial exclusion of top contenders in Daegu. Recent Gallup Korea polls underscore DP dominance at 46%, pressuring PPP in urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, while conservative strongholds offer slim retention prospects. Leadership turmoil post-Yoon impeachment keeps outcomes tightly contested; unified party messaging or scandal-free campaigning could boost toward 3-5 seats, but further infighting risks a drop to 0-1 ahead of early voting May 29-30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3 36%
2 35%
5 14.2%
0 9%
$19,801 Vol.
$19,801 Vol.
0
9%
1
6%
2
35%
3
36%
4
7%
5
14%
6以上
1%
3 36%
2 35%
5 14.2%
0 9%
$19,801 Vol.
$19,801 Vol.
0
9%
1
6%
2
35%
3
36%
4
7%
5
14%
6以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP winning 2 or 3 seats out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, at 33.5% and 36%, reflecting the party's dismal national approval ratings around 19% amid ongoing internal nomination disputes, such as the controversial exclusion of top contenders in Daegu. Recent Gallup Korea polls underscore DP dominance at 46%, pressuring PPP in urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, while conservative strongholds offer slim retention prospects. Leadership turmoil post-Yoon impeachment keeps outcomes tightly contested; unified party messaging or scandal-free campaigning could boost toward 3-5 seats, but further infighting risks a drop to 0-1 ahead of early voting May 29-30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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