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選挙·世界選挙

Next President of Benin

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選挙·世界選挙

Next President of Benin

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Romuald Wadagni

$6,853 Vol.

98%

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Paul Hounkpè

$939 Vol.

3%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, President Patrice Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition's designated successor, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by the coalition's clean sweep of all 109 National Assembly seats in January's parliamentary vote, which sidelined opposition parties amid stringent electoral reforms. Recent campaign launch on March 27 saw Wadagni unveil his platform in the north, while sole challenger Paul Hounkpè of the fragmented Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Emergent struggles without broader endorsements. This near-unanimous parliamentary control and opposition disarray underpin the lopsided odds, though late scandals, health events, voter turnout surprises, or legal disputes could theoretically shift dynamics before polls close.

Romuald Wadagni, President Patrice Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition's designated successor, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by the coalition's clean sweep of all 109 National Assembly seats in January's parliamentary vote, which sidelined opposition parties amid stringent electoral reforms. Recent campaign launch on March 27 saw Wadagni unveil his platform in the north, while sole challenger Paul Hounkpè of the fragmented Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Emergent struggles without broader endorsements. This near-unanimous parliamentary control and opposition disarray underpin the lopsided odds, though late scandals, health events, voter turnout surprises, or legal disputes could theoretically shift dynamics before polls close.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, President Patrice Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition's designated successor, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by the coalition's clean sweep of all 109 National Assembly seats in January's parliamentary vote, which sidelined opposition parties amid stringent electoral reforms. Recent campaign launch on March 27 saw Wadagni unveil his platform in the north, while sole challenger Paul Hounkpè of the fragmented Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Emergent struggles without broader endorsements. This near-unanimous parliamentary control and opposition disarray underpin the lopsided odds, though late scandals, health events, voter turnout surprises, or legal disputes could theoretically shift dynamics before polls close.

Romuald Wadagni, President Patrice Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition's designated successor, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by the coalition's clean sweep of all 109 National Assembly seats in January's parliamentary vote, which sidelined opposition parties amid stringent electoral reforms. Recent campaign launch on March 27 saw Wadagni unveil his platform in the north, while sole challenger Paul Hounkpè of the fragmented Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Emergent struggles without broader endorsements. This near-unanimous parliamentary control and opposition disarray underpin the lopsided odds, though late scandals, health events, voter turnout surprises, or legal disputes could theoretically shift dynamics before polls close.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Next President of Benin」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Romuald Wadagni」で98%、次いで「Paul Hounkpè」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next President of Benin」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 19, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next President of Benin」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next President of Benin」の現在のフロントランナーは「Romuald Wadagni」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Paul Hounkpè」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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