The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4.3% 100.0%
3.9％以下 <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$308,214 Vol.
$308,214 Vol.
2026/04/03
3.9％以下
いいえ
4.0%
いいえ
4.1%
いいえ
4.2%
いいえ
4.3%
はい
4.4％
いいえ
4.5%
いいえ
4.6％
いいえ
4.7％以上
いいえ
4.3% 100.0%
3.9％以下 <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$308,214 Vol.
$308,214 Vol.
2026/04/03
3.9％以下
$32,627 Vol.
いいえ
4.0%
$123,767 Vol.
いいえ
4.1%
$14,016 Vol.
いいえ
4.2%
$22,947 Vol.
いいえ
4.3%
$38,733 Vol.
はい
4.4％
$15,926 Vol.
いいえ
4.5%
$6,805 Vol.
いいえ
4.6％
$21,528 Vol.
いいえ
4.7％以上
$31,864 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
音量
$308,214終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$308,214終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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