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Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?

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Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?

99% chance
Polymarket

$45,755 Vol.

99% chance
Polymarket

$45,755 Vol.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

音量
$45,755
終了日
Aug 31, 2024
マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2024, 1:33 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

音量
$45,755
終了日
Aug 31, 2024
マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2024, 1:33 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Average shows a positive spread for Kamala Harris at any point by Aug 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source of polling data will be used for market resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?」は$45.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 1, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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