Trader consensus prices CDU at 87.5% to finish second in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage polls showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25%—a double-digit gap over distant rivals like Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), and Grüne (4%). The latest INSA poll from March 17-24 underscores this positioning, with no shifts in the past week amid steady AfD strength in eastern Germany. Incumbent CDU Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in January, leads a coalition (CDU-SPD-FDP) projected to lose its Landtag majority, reinforcing CDU's runner-up status barring late polling surges or campaign surprises.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日CDU 88%
AfD 7%
緑の党 3.0%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
7%

緑の党
3%

BSW
2%

左翼党
1%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%
CDU 88%
AfD 7%
緑の党 3.0%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
7%

緑の党
3%

BSW
2%

左翼党
1%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices CDU at 87.5% to finish second in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage polls showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25%—a double-digit gap over distant rivals like Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), and Grüne (4%). The latest INSA poll from March 17-24 underscores this positioning, with no shifts in the past week amid steady AfD strength in eastern Germany. Incumbent CDU Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in January, leads a coalition (CDU-SPD-FDP) projected to lose its Landtag majority, reinforcing CDU's runner-up status barring late polling surges or campaign surprises.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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