Trader consensus prices low odds for Israeli forces entering Beirut soon, reflecting the IDF's emphasis on airstrikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh, rather than ground advances into the capital. Recent escalations include mass evacuation warnings issued October 25, 2024, followed by heavy bombardment killing senior Hezbollah operatives, alongside expanded limited ground operations in southern Lebanon to dismantle border launch sites and push militants north of the Litani River. No verified IDF entry into Beirut city has occurred. Upcoming U.S.-led ceasefire talks and UN Security Council deliberations on Resolution 1701 enforcement could temper risks, while persistent Hezbollah rocket barrages maintain pressure for potential further response.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$46,590 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
12%
$46,590 Vol.
3月31日
$14,901 Vol.
2%
4月30日
$31,688 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$46,590終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,590終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices low odds for Israeli forces entering Beirut soon, reflecting the IDF's emphasis on airstrikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh, rather than ground advances into the capital. Recent escalations include mass evacuation warnings issued October 25, 2024, followed by heavy bombardment killing senior Hezbollah operatives, alongside expanded limited ground operations in southern Lebanon to dismantle border launch sites and push militants north of the Litani River. No verified IDF entry into Beirut city has occurred. Upcoming U.S.-led ceasefire talks and UN Security Council deliberations on Resolution 1701 enforcement could temper risks, while persistent Hezbollah rocket barrages maintain pressure for potential further response.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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