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政治·プライマリ

IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者

ジョー・ミッチェル 94.4%

チャーリー・マクリントック 3.3%

シャノン・ランドグレン <1%

Polymarket
新規

ジョー・ミッチェル 94.4%

チャーリー・マクリントック 3.3%

シャノン・ランドグレン <1%

Polymarket
新規

ジョー・ミッチェル

$4,795 Vol.

94%

チャーリー・マクリントック

$1,817 Vol.

3%

シャノン・ランドグレン

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Rep. Joe Mitchell commands 94.4% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate run, bolstered by President Trump's February endorsement, Speaker Mike Johnson's support, and NRCC's March 17 addition to its MAGA Majority program signaling party infrastructure backing. His campaign's April 1 announcement of a record $600,000 Q1 fundraising total for a non-incumbent GOP contender further solidifies financial dominance. State Sen. Charlie McClintock lags at 3.4% despite remaining in the field post-Shannon Lundgren's January suspension, with the June 2 primary looming. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting Mitchell, strong McClintock debate showings, or unexpected turnout shifts among conservative primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$6,613
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Rep. Joe Mitchell commands 94.4% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate run, bolstered by President Trump's February endorsement, Speaker Mike Johnson's support, and NRCC's March 17 addition to its MAGA Majority program signaling party infrastructure backing. His campaign's April 1 announcement of a record $600,000 Q1 fundraising total for a non-incumbent GOP contender further solidifies financial dominance. State Sen. Charlie McClintock lags at 3.4% despite remaining in the field post-Shannon Lundgren's January suspension, with the June 2 primary looming. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting Mitchell, strong McClintock debate showings, or unexpected turnout shifts among conservative primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$6,613
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョー・ミッチェル」で94%、次いで「チャーリー・マクリントック」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 18, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョー・ミッチェル」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「チャーリー・マクリントック」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。