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政治·プライマリ

IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者

ジョー・ミッチェル 94.5%

チャーリー・マクリントック 2.9%

シャノン・ランドグレン <1%

Polymarket
NEW

ジョー・ミッチェル 94.5%

チャーリー・マクリントック 2.9%

シャノン・ランドグレン <1%

Polymarket
NEW

ジョー・ミッチェル

$4,134 Vol.

95%

チャーリー・マクリントック

$1,817 Vol.

3%

シャノン・ランドグレン

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson in late January, alongside his fundraising lead in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson. The field narrowed after Shannon Lundgren suspended her campaign on January 26, leaving state Sen. Charlie McClintock as Mitchell's main challenger, but the National Republican Congressional Committee bolstered Mitchell's frontrunner status on March 17 by adding him to its elite "MAGA Majority" program, signaling strong institutional backing and resources. While his position appears commanding absent polls, a late scandal, McClintock endorsement surge, or unexpected entrant could shift dynamics before absentee voting ramps up.

Joe Mitchell commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson in late January, alongside his fundraising lead in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson. The field narrowed after Shannon Lundgren suspended her campaign on January 26, leaving state Sen. Charlie McClintock as Mitchell's main challenger, but the National Republican Congressional Committee bolstered Mitchell's frontrunner status on March 17 by adding him to its elite "MAGA Majority" program, signaling strong institutional backing and resources. While his position appears commanding absent polls, a late scandal, McClintock endorsement surge, or unexpected entrant could shift dynamics before absentee voting ramps up.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson in late January, alongside his fundraising lead in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson. The field narrowed after Shannon Lundgren suspended her campaign on January 26, leaving state Sen. Charlie McClintock as Mitchell's main challenger, but the National Republican Congressional Committee bolstered Mitchell's frontrunner status on March 17 by adding him to its elite "MAGA Majority" program, signaling strong institutional backing and resources. While his position appears commanding absent polls, a late scandal, McClintock endorsement surge, or unexpected entrant could shift dynamics before absentee voting ramps up.

Joe Mitchell commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson in late January, alongside his fundraising lead in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson. The field narrowed after Shannon Lundgren suspended her campaign on January 26, leaving state Sen. Charlie McClintock as Mitchell's main challenger, but the National Republican Congressional Committee bolstered Mitchell's frontrunner status on March 17 by adding him to its elite "MAGA Majority" program, signaling strong institutional backing and resources. While his position appears commanding absent polls, a late scandal, McClintock endorsement surge, or unexpected entrant could shift dynamics before absentee voting ramps up.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョー・ミッチェル」で95%、次いで「チャーリー・マクリントック」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 18, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョー・ミッチェル」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「チャーリー・マクリントック」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IA -02共和党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。