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2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?

Market icon

2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?

25万〜50万 100.0%

25万人未満 <1%

50万〜75万人 <1%

75万〜100万 <1%

Polymarket

$12,394,195 Vol.

25万〜50万 100.0%

25万人未満 <1%

50万〜75万人 <1%

75万〜100万 <1%

Polymarket

$12,394,195 Vol.

25万人未満

$1,312,520 Vol.

いいえ

25万〜50万

$7,563,256 Vol.

はい

50万〜75万人

$580,037 Vol.

いいえ

75万〜100万

$566,696 Vol.

いいえ

100万〜125万人

$547,973 Vol.

いいえ

125万〜150万人

$500,985 Vol.

いいえ

150万〜175万

$484,385 Vol.

いいえ

175万~200万人

$419,524 Vol.

いいえ

200万人以上

$418,819 Vol.

いいえ

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
音量
$12,394,195
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25万〜50万" at 100%, followed by "25万人未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?" has generated $12.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?" is "25万〜50万" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25万人未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年にトランプ氏は何人を国外退去させるのか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.