Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 40.5%, drawing directly from the 27-second grip during Presidents Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit amid trade talks, where Trump quipped about Xi's toughness before extended bilateral discussions. Recent White House confirmation on March 26 rescheduling their May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed by the Iran conflict—has boosted volume, with U.S.-China economic chiefs' Paris meeting two weeks prior clearing paths on tariffs and rare earths despite ongoing tensions. Shorter durations like 6-10s (20.5%) and 10-15s (20%) reflect variance in past greetings, while low odds on no handshake (5.2%) underscore their established diplomatic rapport and Trump's public praise of ties. Uncertainties in summit agenda could still influence body language.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日15秒以上 41%
6～10秒 21%
10～15秒 20%
2〜6秒 11%
$39,844 Vol.
$39,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
握手なし
5%
2秒未満
3%
2〜6秒
11%
6～10秒
21%
10～15秒
20%
15秒以上
41%
写真のみ
2%
15秒以上 41%
6～10秒 21%
10～15秒 20%
2〜6秒 11%
$39,844 Vol.
$39,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
握手なし
$8,990 Vol.
5%
2秒未満
$4,750 Vol.
3%
2〜6秒
$8,669 Vol.
11%
6～10秒
$3,198 Vol.
21%
10～15秒
$0 Vol.
20%
15秒以上
$5,434 Vol.
41%
写真のみ
$8,802 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 40.5%, drawing directly from the 27-second grip during Presidents Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit amid trade talks, where Trump quipped about Xi's toughness before extended bilateral discussions. Recent White House confirmation on March 26 rescheduling their May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed by the Iran conflict—has boosted volume, with U.S.-China economic chiefs' Paris meeting two weeks prior clearing paths on tariffs and rare earths despite ongoing tensions. Shorter durations like 6-10s (20.5%) and 10-15s (20%) reflect variance in past greetings, while low odds on no handshake (5.2%) underscore their established diplomatic rapport and Trump's public praise of ties. Uncertainties in summit agenda could still influence body language.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
音量
$39,844終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 40.5%, drawing directly from the 27-second grip during Presidents Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit amid trade talks, where Trump quipped about Xi's toughness before extended bilateral discussions. Recent White House confirmation on March 26 rescheduling their May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed by the Iran conflict—has boosted volume, with U.S.-China economic chiefs' Paris meeting two weeks prior clearing paths on tariffs and rare earths despite ongoing tensions. Shorter durations like 6-10s (20.5%) and 10-15s (20%) reflect variance in past greetings, while low odds on no handshake (5.2%) underscore their established diplomatic rapport and Trump's public praise of ties. Uncertainties in summit agenda could still influence body language.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$39,844終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 40.5%, drawing directly from the 27-second grip during Presidents Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit amid trade talks, where Trump quipped about Xi's toughness before extended bilateral discussions. Recent White House confirmation on March 26 rescheduling their May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed by the Iran conflict—has boosted volume, with U.S.-China economic chiefs' Paris meeting two weeks prior clearing paths on tariffs and rare earths despite ongoing tensions. Shorter durations like 6-10s (20.5%) and 10-15s (20%) reflect variance in past greetings, while low odds on no handshake (5.2%) underscore their established diplomatic rapport and Trump's public praise of ties. Uncertainties in summit agenda could still influence body language.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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