Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, with a daily low of 36°F—14°F below the 1991–2020 normal high of 53°F—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 40-41°F outcome. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data confirming partly cloudy, windy conditions under a post-frontal cool air mass following the record 81°F heat at O'Hare on March 30. While final CLI reports rarely revise such measurements, an unlikely data correction from preliminary to verified records could challenge this, though historical precedents show minimal discrepancies post-24 hours. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
40-41°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$183,598 Vol.
$183,598 Vol.
2026/04/01
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
Yes
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
No
40-41°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$183,598 Vol.
$183,598 Vol.
2026/04/01
33°F or below
$6,391 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$9,314 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$12,646 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$32,757 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$21,758 Vol.
Yes
42-43°F
$15,218 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$14,477 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$12,770 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$11,475 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$11,218 Vol.
No
52°F or higher
$35,574 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, with a daily low of 36°F—14°F below the 1991–2020 normal high of 53°F—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 40-41°F outcome. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data confirming partly cloudy, windy conditions under a post-frontal cool air mass following the record 81°F heat at O'Hare on March 30. While final CLI reports rarely revise such measurements, an unlikely data correction from preliminary to verified records could challenge this, though historical precedents show minimal discrepancies post-24 hours. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
音量
$183,598終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, with a daily low of 36°F—14°F below the 1991–2020 normal high of 53°F—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 40-41°F outcome. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data confirming partly cloudy, windy conditions under a post-frontal cool air mass following the record 81°F heat at O'Hare on March 30. While final CLI reports rarely revise such measurements, an unlikely data correction from preliminary to verified records could challenge this, though historical precedents show minimal discrepancies post-24 hours. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$183,598終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, with a daily low of 36°F—14°F below the 1991–2020 normal high of 53°F—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 40-41°F outcome. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data confirming partly cloudy, windy conditions under a post-frontal cool air mass following the record 81°F heat at O'Hare on March 30. While final CLI reports rarely revise such measurements, an unlikely data correction from preliminary to verified records could challenge this, though historical precedents show minimal discrepancies post-24 hours. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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