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エコノミー·GDP

ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026

Market icon
エコノミー·GDP

ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026

Jan 31, 2027

Jan 31, 2027

1.0〜2.0％ 52%

0％未満 23.5%

3.0〜4.0％ 22.0%

2.0〜3.0％ 18%

Polymarket
NEW

1.0〜2.0％ 52%

0％未満 23.5%

3.0〜4.0％ 22.0%

2.0〜3.0％ 18%

Polymarket
NEW

0％未満

$0 Vol.

24%

0～1.0％

$0 Vol.

22%

1.0〜2.0％

$0 Vol.

33%

2.0〜3.0％

$0 Vol.

18%

3.0〜4.0％

$0 Vol.

22%

4.0～5.0％

$1,306 Vol.

10%

5.0-6.0％

$0 Vol.

20%

6.0～7.0％

$0 Vol.

26%

7.0％以上

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in a fragmented manner, with the 1.0-2.0% bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid ECB staff projections from March 19 revising forecasts downward to around 1.2% due to energy price surges from Middle East conflict escalation, alongside OECD's fresh cut two days ago citing higher inflation risks. Closely trailing at 29.3% is the improbable 7.0%+ outcome, betting on tail scenarios like swift geopolitical de-escalation, aggressive ECB rate cuts beyond the current deposit rate stance, or productivity surges from AI adoption. Differentiators include Q1 2026 GDP's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter rise per Eurostat's March 6 flash, resilient unemployment at 6.1% in January, and vulnerability to trade tensions—key swings ahead of Q2 GDP release and June ECB projections.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in a fragmented manner, with the 1.0-2.0% bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid ECB staff projections from March 19 revising forecasts downward to around 1.2% due to energy price surges from Middle East conflict escalation, alongside OECD's fresh cut two days ago citing higher inflation risks. Closely trailing at 29.3% is the improbable 7.0%+ outcome, betting on tail scenarios like swift geopolitical de-escalation, aggressive ECB rate cuts beyond the current deposit rate stance, or productivity surges from AI adoption. Differentiators include Q1 2026 GDP's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter rise per Eurostat's March 6 flash, resilient unemployment at 6.1% in January, and vulnerability to trade tensions—key swings ahead of Q2 GDP release and June ECB projections.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in a fragmented manner, with the 1.0-2.0% bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid ECB staff projections from March 19 revising forecasts downward to around 1.2% due to energy price surges from Middle East conflict escalation, alongside OECD's fresh cut two days ago citing higher inflation risks. Closely trailing at 29.3% is the improbable 7.0%+ outcome, betting on tail scenarios like swift geopolitical de-escalation, aggressive ECB rate cuts beyond the current deposit rate stance, or productivity surges from AI adoption. Differentiators include Q1 2026 GDP's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter rise per Eurostat's March 6 flash, resilient unemployment at 6.1% in January, and vulnerability to trade tensions—key swings ahead of Q2 GDP release and June ECB projections.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in a fragmented manner, with the 1.0-2.0% bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid ECB staff projections from March 19 revising forecasts downward to around 1.2% due to energy price surges from Middle East conflict escalation, alongside OECD's fresh cut two days ago citing higher inflation risks. Closely trailing at 29.3% is the improbable 7.0%+ outcome, betting on tail scenarios like swift geopolitical de-escalation, aggressive ECB rate cuts beyond the current deposit rate stance, or productivity surges from AI adoption. Differentiators include Q1 2026 GDP's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter rise per Eurostat's March 6 flash, resilient unemployment at 6.1% in January, and vulnerability to trade tensions—key swings ahead of Q2 GDP release and June ECB projections.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1.0〜2.0％」で33%、次いで「7.0％以上」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 22, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026」の現在のフロントランナーは「1.0〜2.0％」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「7.0％以上」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロ圏の年間GDP成長率2026」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。