Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 1360-1439 tweets in April 2026, implying 45-48 daily posts, mirroring his 2024 averages of ~1350 in April and 1400+ during election surges, per X analytics trackers. Top ranges vie closely at 7-8% odds, reflecting baseline habits from Tesla updates and memes, offset by risks of reduced volume if his DOGE advisory role intensifies post-Trump inauguration or xAI distractions mount. Differentiators include event-driven spikes—like Robotaxi reveals or earnings calls—that historically add 10-20% volume, versus quieter periods; unpredictability stems from secret X algorithms and real-time cultural flare-ups, with resolution via official post-month tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1360~1399 7.8%
1400〜1439 7.1%
1320〜1359 5.3%
1440〜1479 4.4%
$3,581,424 Vol.
$3,581,424 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320~339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660~679
<1%
680〜699
1%
700〜719
1%
720~739
1%
740~759
1%
760~779
1%
780〜799
1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
1%
880〜919
2%
920〜959
2%
960~999
3%
1000〜1039
3%
1040~1079
3%
1080~1119
3%
1120~1159
3%
1160~1199
4%
1200~1239
4%
1240〜1279
4%
1280~1319
4%
1320〜1359
5%
1360~1399
8%
1400〜1439
7%
1440〜1479
4%
1480~1519
4%
1520〜1559
4%
1560〜1599
4%
1600〜1679
4%
1,680〜1,759
3%
1,760〜1,839
3%
1840〜1919
3%
1920-1999
3%
2000件以上
1%
1360~1399 7.8%
1400〜1439 7.1%
1320〜1359 5.3%
1440〜1479 4.4%
$3,581,424 Vol.
$3,581,424 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320~339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660~679
<1%
680〜699
1%
700〜719
1%
720~739
1%
740~759
1%
760~779
1%
780〜799
1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
1%
880〜919
2%
920〜959
2%
960~999
3%
1000〜1039
3%
1040~1079
3%
1080~1119
3%
1120~1159
3%
1160~1199
4%
1200~1239
4%
1240〜1279
4%
1280~1319
4%
1320〜1359
5%
1360~1399
8%
1400〜1439
7%
1440〜1479
4%
1480~1519
4%
1520〜1559
4%
1560〜1599
4%
1600〜1679
4%
1,680〜1,759
3%
1,760〜1,839
3%
1840〜1919
3%
1920-1999
3%
2000件以上
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 1360-1439 tweets in April 2026, implying 45-48 daily posts, mirroring his 2024 averages of ~1350 in April and 1400+ during election surges, per X analytics trackers. Top ranges vie closely at 7-8% odds, reflecting baseline habits from Tesla updates and memes, offset by risks of reduced volume if his DOGE advisory role intensifies post-Trump inauguration or xAI distractions mount. Differentiators include event-driven spikes—like Robotaxi reveals or earnings calls—that historically add 10-20% volume, versus quieter periods; unpredictability stems from secret X algorithms and real-time cultural flare-ups, with resolution via official post-month tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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