Polymarket traders view CDU as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting its consistent 22-23% lead in recent Sonntagsfragen like the March 2 dawum.de trend and late February INSA and Infratest dimap polls, well ahead of AfD and Die Linke at 16-17%, SPD and Grüne at 15-16%. This fragmented field bolsters CDU's path to plurality despite BSW, FDP, and FW hovering below 5%. The governing CDU-SPD coalition projects no majority, amid low approval for Mayor Kai Wegner, but stable voter sentiment since January underscores persistent governance frustrations without fresh catalysts in the past month. Coalition negotiations post-election loom as key, with CDU eyeing potential partners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日CDU 53%
グリューネ 13.0%
SPD 10.2%
リンク 10%
$2,535,596 Vol.
$2,535,596 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
53%
グリューネ
13%
SPD
10%
リンク
10%
AfD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 53%
グリューネ 13.0%
SPD 10.2%
リンク 10%
$2,535,596 Vol.
$2,535,596 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$9,294 Vol.
53%
グリューネ
$23,306 Vol.
13%
SPD
$285,211 Vol.
10%
リンク
$8,381 Vol.
10%
AfD
$2,176,599 Vol.
7%
BSW
$18,790 Vol.
1%
FDP
$8,860 Vol.
<1%
FW
$5,157 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polymarket traders view CDU as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting its consistent 22-23% lead in recent Sonntagsfragen like the March 2 dawum.de trend and late February INSA and Infratest dimap polls, well ahead of AfD and Die Linke at 16-17%, SPD and Grüne at 15-16%. This fragmented field bolsters CDU's path to plurality despite BSW, FDP, and FW hovering below 5%. The governing CDU-SPD coalition projects no majority, amid low approval for Mayor Kai Wegner, but stable voter sentiment since January underscores persistent governance frustrations without fresh catalysts in the past month. Coalition negotiations post-election loom as key, with CDU eyeing potential partners.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
音量
$2,535,596終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polymarket traders view CDU as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting its consistent 22-23% lead in recent Sonntagsfragen like the March 2 dawum.de trend and late February INSA and Infratest dimap polls, well ahead of AfD and Die Linke at 16-17%, SPD and Grüne at 15-16%. This fragmented field bolsters CDU's path to plurality despite BSW, FDP, and FW hovering below 5%. The governing CDU-SPD coalition projects no majority, amid low approval for Mayor Kai Wegner, but stable voter sentiment since January underscores persistent governance frustrations without fresh catalysts in the past month. Coalition negotiations post-election loom as key, with CDU eyeing potential partners.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$2,535,596終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders view CDU as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting its consistent 22-23% lead in recent Sonntagsfragen like the March 2 dawum.de trend and late February INSA and Infratest dimap polls, well ahead of AfD and Die Linke at 16-17%, SPD and Grüne at 15-16%. This fragmented field bolsters CDU's path to plurality despite BSW, FDP, and FW hovering below 5%. The governing CDU-SPD coalition projects no majority, amid low approval for Mayor Kai Wegner, but stable voter sentiment since January underscores persistent governance frustrations without fresh catalysts in the past month. Coalition negotiations post-election loom as key, with CDU eyeing potential partners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問