$61,480 Vol.
$61,480 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
作成日: Jan 2, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
音量
$61,480終了日
Dec 31, 2025作成日時
Jan 2, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
$61,480 Vol.
$61,480 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$61,480終了日
Dec 31, 2025作成日時
Jan 2, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
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外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Assad leaves Russia before 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Assad leaves Russia before 2026?" has generated $61.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Assad leaves Russia before 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Assad leaves Russia before 2026?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Assad leaves Russia before 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions