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政治·プライマリ

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Dees 41%

Jerry Carl 40%

Rhett Marques 40%

Joshua McKee 26%

Polymarket

$33,291 Vol.

James Dees 41%

Jerry Carl 40%

Rhett Marques 40%

Joshua McKee 26%

Polymarket

$33,291 Vol.

James Dees

$0 Vol.

41%

Jerry Carl

$0 Vol.

40%

Rhett Marques

$0 Vol.

40%

Joshua McKee

$0 Vol.

26%

John Mills

$14,754 Vol.

22%

James Richardson

$5,184 Vol.

14%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Jerry Carl, Rhett Marques, and James Dees virtually tied near 41% each in the AL-01 Republican primary set for May 19, with a likely June 16 runoff given the fragmented seven-candidate field. Carl, the incumbent seeking re-election, saw his double-digit polling leads from January and February erode in the March Alabama Poll to 28%-19% over Marques, as the state representative captured most new deciders amid superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000) and an early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. Dees has surged in market odds on recent volume, while others trail; high-profile endorsements like a potential Trump nod, debates, or ad spending could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.

Trader consensus prices Jerry Carl, Rhett Marques, and James Dees virtually tied near 41% each in the AL-01 Republican primary set for May 19, with a likely June 16 runoff given the fragmented seven-candidate field. Carl, the incumbent seeking re-election, saw his double-digit polling leads from January and February erode in the March Alabama Poll to 28%-19% over Marques, as the state representative captured most new deciders amid superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000) and an early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. Dees has surged in market odds on recent volume, while others trail; high-profile endorsements like a potential Trump nod, debates, or ad spending could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Jerry Carl, Rhett Marques, and James Dees virtually tied near 41% each in the AL-01 Republican primary set for May 19, with a likely June 16 runoff given the fragmented seven-candidate field. Carl, the incumbent seeking re-election, saw his double-digit polling leads from January and February erode in the March Alabama Poll to 28%-19% over Marques, as the state representative captured most new deciders amid superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000) and an early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. Dees has surged in market odds on recent volume, while others trail; high-profile endorsements like a potential Trump nod, debates, or ad spending could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.

Trader consensus prices Jerry Carl, Rhett Marques, and James Dees virtually tied near 41% each in the AL-01 Republican primary set for May 19, with a likely June 16 runoff given the fragmented seven-candidate field. Carl, the incumbent seeking re-election, saw his double-digit polling leads from January and February erode in the March Alabama Poll to 28%-19% over Marques, as the state representative captured most new deciders amid superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000) and an early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. Dees has surged in market odds on recent volume, while others trail; high-profile endorsements like a potential Trump nod, debates, or ad spending could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「James Dees」で41%、次いで「Jerry Carl」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」は$33.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「James Dees」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jerry Carl」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。