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政治·プライマリ

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 36%

James Dees 36%

Rhett Marques 36%

Joshua McKee 27%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,291 Vol.

Jerry Carl 36%

James Dees 36%

Rhett Marques 36%

Joshua McKee 27%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,291 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$0 Vol.

36%

James Dees

$0 Vol.

36%

Rhett Marques

$0 Vol.

36%

Joshua McKee

$0 Vol.

27%

John Mills

$14,754 Vol.

22%

James Richardson

$5,184 Vol.

20%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest with incumbent Jerry Carl, James Dees, and Rhett Marques tied at 37% implied probability, driven by a fragmented seven-candidate field and the latest Alabama Poll from mid-March showing Carl at 28%, Marques at 19%, and 53% scattered among others and undecideds. Carl's lead has narrowed from 16 points six weeks prior, signaling vulnerability amid Marques' strong fundraising—over $875,000 raised—and early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. High undecided rates and vote-splitting keep odds even; separation could stem from Trump endorsements, late advertising in Mobile County and Wiregrass battlegrounds, or candidate debates boosting name recognition before early voting.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest with incumbent Jerry Carl, James Dees, and Rhett Marques tied at 37% implied probability, driven by a fragmented seven-candidate field and the latest Alabama Poll from mid-March showing Carl at 28%, Marques at 19%, and 53% scattered among others and undecideds. Carl's lead has narrowed from 16 points six weeks prior, signaling vulnerability amid Marques' strong fundraising—over $875,000 raised—and early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. High undecided rates and vote-splitting keep odds even; separation could stem from Trump endorsements, late advertising in Mobile County and Wiregrass battlegrounds, or candidate debates boosting name recognition before early voting.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest with incumbent Jerry Carl, James Dees, and Rhett Marques tied at 37% implied probability, driven by a fragmented seven-candidate field and the latest Alabama Poll from mid-March showing Carl at 28%, Marques at 19%, and 53% scattered among others and undecideds. Carl's lead has narrowed from 16 points six weeks prior, signaling vulnerability amid Marques' strong fundraising—over $875,000 raised—and early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. High undecided rates and vote-splitting keep odds even; separation could stem from Trump endorsements, late advertising in Mobile County and Wiregrass battlegrounds, or candidate debates boosting name recognition before early voting.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest with incumbent Jerry Carl, James Dees, and Rhett Marques tied at 37% implied probability, driven by a fragmented seven-candidate field and the latest Alabama Poll from mid-March showing Carl at 28%, Marques at 19%, and 53% scattered among others and undecideds. Carl's lead has narrowed from 16 points six weeks prior, signaling vulnerability amid Marques' strong fundraising—over $875,000 raised—and early endorsement from Sen. Katie Britt. High undecided rates and vote-splitting keep odds even; separation could stem from Trump endorsements, late advertising in Mobile County and Wiregrass battlegrounds, or candidate debates boosting name recognition before early voting.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jerry Carl」で36%、次いで「James Dees」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」は$33.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jerry Carl」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「James Dees」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AL-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。