Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 99.6% implied probability that Donald Trump will sue Trevor Noah by March 31, reflecting the stark absence of any lawsuit filings, legal notices, or direct threats from the president-elect targeting the comedian in public statements or court dockets. Noah's recent podcast episodes and social media posts lampooning Trump's win have elicited no specific backlash, with Trump channeling legal energy into high-profile cases against ABC News over the Harris debate rather than late-night satirists. As the deadline looms with zero confirmed developments in the past week, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low appetite for such a suit; realistic upsets would require an abrupt Truth Social announcement or eleventh-hour docket entry, defying Trump's pattern of pre-litigation warnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$57,704 Vol.
$57,704 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$57,704 Vol.
$57,704 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 99.6% implied probability that Donald Trump will sue Trevor Noah by March 31, reflecting the stark absence of any lawsuit filings, legal notices, or direct threats from the president-elect targeting the comedian in public statements or court dockets. Noah's recent podcast episodes and social media posts lampooning Trump's win have elicited no specific backlash, with Trump channeling legal energy into high-profile cases against ABC News over the Harris debate rather than late-night satirists. As the deadline looms with zero confirmed developments in the past week, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low appetite for such a suit; realistic upsets would require an abrupt Truth Social announcement or eleventh-hour docket entry, defying Trump's pattern of pre-litigation warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Volume
$57,704Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 99.6% implied probability that Donald Trump will sue Trevor Noah by March 31, reflecting the stark absence of any lawsuit filings, legal notices, or direct threats from the president-elect targeting the comedian in public statements or court dockets. Noah's recent podcast episodes and social media posts lampooning Trump's win have elicited no specific backlash, with Trump channeling legal energy into high-profile cases against ABC News over the Harris debate rather than late-night satirists. As the deadline looms with zero confirmed developments in the past week, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low appetite for such a suit; realistic upsets would require an abrupt Truth Social announcement or eleventh-hour docket entry, defying Trump's pattern of pre-litigation warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,704Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 99.6% implied probability that Donald Trump will sue Trevor Noah by March 31, reflecting the stark absence of any lawsuit filings, legal notices, or direct threats from the president-elect targeting the comedian in public statements or court dockets. Noah's recent podcast episodes and social media posts lampooning Trump's win have elicited no specific backlash, with Trump channeling legal energy into high-profile cases against ABC News over the Harris debate rather than late-night satirists. As the deadline looms with zero confirmed developments in the past week, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low appetite for such a suit; realistic upsets would require an abrupt Truth Social announcement or eleventh-hour docket entry, defying Trump's pattern of pre-litigation warnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes