Russian forces reached the northeastern outskirts of Vozdvyzhivka, a frontline village southwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with geolocated footage confirming marginal advances into the settlement over the past week amid intensified assaults on the Pokrovsk axis. Ukrainian defenders report ongoing resistance, denying full capture, as Moscow prioritizes incremental territorial gains following seizures of nearby hamlets like Promin and Shevchenko in recent days. This slow-moving escalation reflects Russia's summer offensive momentum, bolstered by manpower redeployments, though Ukrainian fortifications and Western aid sustain pressure. Traders monitor OSINT imagery, official claims from both sides, and potential reinforcements, with the situation fluid and subject to rapid shifts from airstrikes, counterattacks, or logistical disruptions before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa Russie entrera-t-elle en Vozdvyzhivka d'ici... ?
La Russie entrera-t-elle en Vozdvyzhivka d'ici... ?
$97,769 Vol.
31 mars
7%
30 avril
32%
$97,769 Vol.
31 mars
7%
30 avril
32%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vozdvyzhivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Feb 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vozdvyzhivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces reached the northeastern outskirts of Vozdvyzhivka, a frontline village southwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with geolocated footage confirming marginal advances into the settlement over the past week amid intensified assaults on the Pokrovsk axis. Ukrainian defenders report ongoing resistance, denying full capture, as Moscow prioritizes incremental territorial gains following seizures of nearby hamlets like Promin and Shevchenko in recent days. This slow-moving escalation reflects Russia's summer offensive momentum, bolstered by manpower redeployments, though Ukrainian fortifications and Western aid sustain pressure. Traders monitor OSINT imagery, official claims from both sides, and potential reinforcements, with the situation fluid and subject to rapid shifts from airstrikes, counterattacks, or logistical disruptions before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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