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La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ?

Market icon

La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ?

$14,199 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,199 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$10,511 Vol.

3%

30 avril

$3,688 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast's Kostiantynivka sector, where Viroliubivka lies north of key settlements, amid a broader spring offensive toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Russian milbloggers claimed seizure of the village earlier this month, but ISW maps—determinative for this market—show no confirmed control of the specified intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E as of late March 2026. Ukrainian defenses report repelling assaults, with DeepState noting limited territorial changes since early March. Ongoing frontline clashes, bolstered by Russian resource commitments, face Ukrainian counteractions; the March 31 deadline looms, with weather and reinforcements as pivotal variables in this contested gray zone.

Russian forces continue incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast's Kostiantynivka sector, where Viroliubivka lies north of key settlements, amid a broader spring offensive toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Russian milbloggers claimed seizure of the village earlier this month, but ISW maps—determinative for this market—show no confirmed control of the specified intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E as of late March 2026. Ukrainian defenses report repelling assaults, with DeepState noting limited territorial changes since early March. Ongoing frontline clashes, bolstered by Russian resource commitments, face Ukrainian counteractions; the March 31 deadline looms, with weather and reinforcements as pivotal variables in this contested gray zone.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast's Kostiantynivka sector, where Viroliubivka lies north of key settlements, amid a broader spring offensive toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Russian milbloggers claimed seizure of the village earlier this month, but ISW maps—determinative for this market—show no confirmed control of the specified intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E as of late March 2026. Ukrainian defenses report repelling assaults, with DeepState noting limited territorial changes since early March. Ongoing frontline clashes, bolstered by Russian resource commitments, face Ukrainian counteractions; the March 31 deadline looms, with weather and reinforcements as pivotal variables in this contested gray zone.

Russian forces continue incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast's Kostiantynivka sector, where Viroliubivka lies north of key settlements, amid a broader spring offensive toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Russian milbloggers claimed seizure of the village earlier this month, but ISW maps—determinative for this market—show no confirmed control of the specified intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E as of late March 2026. Ukrainian defenses report repelling assaults, with DeepState noting limited territorial changes since early March. Ongoing frontline clashes, bolstered by Russian resource commitments, face Ukrainian counteractions; the March 31 deadline looms, with weather and reinforcements as pivotal variables in this contested gray zone.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril » à 12%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 12¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ? » a généré $14.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ? » est « 30 avril » à 12%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Viroliubivka par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.