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Géopolitique·Ukraine

La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon
Géopolitique·Ukraine

La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted probing attacks north of Sumy City near Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast over the past week, as detailed in the latest Institute for the Study of War assessments through March 26, but achieved no confirmed advances toward the specified frontline intersection. This stalled momentum in the northern Sumy direction, amid Ukrainian defensive operations holding the line, underpins trader consensus implying overwhelming confidence that Russia will not capture the point by March 31. With just days remaining, barriers include entrenched positions, limited time for verification on resolving maps, and ongoing attrition; only a sudden breakthrough with geolocated confirmation could shift odds.

Russian forces have conducted probing attacks north of Sumy City near Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast over the past week, as detailed in the latest Institute for the Study of War assessments through March 26, but achieved no confirmed advances toward the specified frontline intersection. This stalled momentum in the northern Sumy direction, amid Ukrainian defensive operations holding the line, underpins trader consensus implying overwhelming confidence that Russia will not capture the point by March 31. With just days remaining, barriers include entrenched positions, limited time for verification on resolving maps, and ongoing attrition; only a sudden breakthrough with geolocated confirmation could shift odds.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted probing attacks north of Sumy City near Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast over the past week, as detailed in the latest Institute for the Study of War assessments through March 26, but achieved no confirmed advances toward the specified frontline intersection. This stalled momentum in the northern Sumy direction, amid Ukrainian defensive operations holding the line, underpins trader consensus implying overwhelming confidence that Russia will not capture the point by March 31. With just days remaining, barriers include entrenched positions, limited time for verification on resolving maps, and ongoing attrition; only a sudden breakthrough with geolocated confirmation could shift odds.

Russian forces have conducted probing attacks north of Sumy City near Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast over the past week, as detailed in the latest Institute for the Study of War assessments through March 26, but achieved no confirmed advances toward the specified frontline intersection. This stalled momentum in the northern Sumy direction, amid Ukrainian defensive operations holding the line, underpins trader consensus implying overwhelming confidence that Russia will not capture the point by March 31. With just days remaining, barriers include entrenched positions, limited time for verification on resolving maps, and ongoing attrition; only a sudden breakthrough with geolocated confirmation could shift odds.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 4¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 4% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Feb 19, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « La Russie va-t-elle capturer Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » à seulement 4%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La Russie s'emparera-t-elle de Kindrativka d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.