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Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Market icon

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5,427 Vol.

Dec 5, 2025
Polymarket

$5,427 Vol.

Polymarket

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

$353 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)

$240 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$100)

$2,738 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$10)

$2,095 Vol.

No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify.

If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
Volume
$5,427
Date de fin
Dec 5, 2025
Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

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Questions fréquentes

« Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT) » à 0%, suivi de « Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000) » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 0¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Nov 24, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize? » est « Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT) » à seulement 0%, avec « Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000) » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.