Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.7% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the total absence of any credible reports, DOJ investigations, FBI actions, or criminal charges against him amid recent company milestones like explosive revenue growth announced at Anthropic's developer conference this week. Ongoing civil litigation—such as Anthropic's lawsuits challenging the Defense Department's supply chain risk designation—remains strictly corporate and unrelated to personal criminal liability. Amodei's public profile centers on AI safety advocacy and business expansion, with no scandals, leaks, or official probes surfacing in the past 30 days. While late-breaking indictments or unforeseen legal developments could shift odds, such barriers as lack of evidence and institutional scrutiny make arrest highly improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$160,648 Vol.
$160,648 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$160,648 Vol.
$160,648 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.7% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the total absence of any credible reports, DOJ investigations, FBI actions, or criminal charges against him amid recent company milestones like explosive revenue growth announced at Anthropic's developer conference this week. Ongoing civil litigation—such as Anthropic's lawsuits challenging the Defense Department's supply chain risk designation—remains strictly corporate and unrelated to personal criminal liability. Amodei's public profile centers on AI safety advocacy and business expansion, with no scandals, leaks, or official probes surfacing in the past 30 days. While late-breaking indictments or unforeseen legal developments could shift odds, such barriers as lack of evidence and institutional scrutiny make arrest highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$160,648Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.7% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the total absence of any credible reports, DOJ investigations, FBI actions, or criminal charges against him amid recent company milestones like explosive revenue growth announced at Anthropic's developer conference this week. Ongoing civil litigation—such as Anthropic's lawsuits challenging the Defense Department's supply chain risk designation—remains strictly corporate and unrelated to personal criminal liability. Amodei's public profile centers on AI safety advocacy and business expansion, with no scandals, leaks, or official probes surfacing in the past 30 days. While late-breaking indictments or unforeseen legal developments could shift odds, such barriers as lack of evidence and institutional scrutiny make arrest highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$160,648Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.7% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the total absence of any credible reports, DOJ investigations, FBI actions, or criminal charges against him amid recent company milestones like explosive revenue growth announced at Anthropic's developer conference this week. Ongoing civil litigation—such as Anthropic's lawsuits challenging the Defense Department's supply chain risk designation—remains strictly corporate and unrelated to personal criminal liability. Amodei's public profile centers on AI safety advocacy and business expansion, with no scandals, leaks, or official probes surfacing in the past 30 days. While late-breaking indictments or unforeseen legal developments could shift odds, such barriers as lack of evidence and institutional scrutiny make arrest highly improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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