President Trump's ongoing Truth Social activity amid U.S. military operations in Iran drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases in his public statements from March 29 to April 4. His March 29 repost of Pakistan's deputy prime minister on Iran permitting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, following March 27 claims that operations are "going GREAT" with over 3,500 targets remaining, elevates implied probabilities for Iran-related terms like "finish the job" (20%) and "embargo" (19%). A March 27 Miami economics speech and farmer remarks on executive actions further boost odds for "paid a big price." No public events are scheduled at Mar-a-Lago this week, but frequent posts responding to diplomatic developments, congressional AI pushes, or DHS funding disputes could shift odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$476,444 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
16%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
5%
Ethanol
3%
Embargo
11%
Finish the Job
14%
Khamenei
4%
Chuck Norris
2%
$476,444 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,765 Vol.
16%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,577 Vol.
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,919 Vol.
5%
Ethanol
$11,636 Vol.
3%
Embargo
$8,783 Vol.
11%
Finish the Job
$3,900 Vol.
14%
Khamenei
$53,985 Vol.
4%
Chuck Norris
$9,346 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing Truth Social activity amid U.S. military operations in Iran drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases in his public statements from March 29 to April 4. His March 29 repost of Pakistan's deputy prime minister on Iran permitting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, following March 27 claims that operations are "going GREAT" with over 3,500 targets remaining, elevates implied probabilities for Iran-related terms like "finish the job" (20%) and "embargo" (19%). A March 27 Miami economics speech and farmer remarks on executive actions further boost odds for "paid a big price." No public events are scheduled at Mar-a-Lago this week, but frequent posts responding to diplomatic developments, congressional AI pushes, or DHS funding disputes could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$476,444Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Contesté
Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing Truth Social activity amid U.S. military operations in Iran drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases in his public statements from March 29 to April 4. His March 29 repost of Pakistan's deputy prime minister on Iran permitting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, following March 27 claims that operations are "going GREAT" with over 3,500 targets remaining, elevates implied probabilities for Iran-related terms like "finish the job" (20%) and "embargo" (19%). A March 27 Miami economics speech and farmer remarks on executive actions further boost odds for "paid a big price." No public events are scheduled at Mar-a-Lago this week, but frequent posts responding to diplomatic developments, congressional AI pushes, or DHS funding disputes could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$476,444Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Contesté
Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
President Trump's ongoing Truth Social activity amid U.S. military operations in Iran drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases in his public statements from March 29 to April 4. His March 29 repost of Pakistan's deputy prime minister on Iran permitting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, following March 27 claims that operations are "going GREAT" with over 3,500 targets remaining, elevates implied probabilities for Iran-related terms like "finish the job" (20%) and "embargo" (19%). A March 27 Miami economics speech and farmer remarks on executive actions further boost odds for "paid a big price." No public events are scheduled at Mar-a-Lago this week, but frequent posts responding to diplomatic developments, congressional AI pushes, or DHS funding disputes could shift odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes