President Trump's ongoing rhetoric amid U.S.-Iran military tensions dominates trader consensus in the "What will Trump say this week? (March 29)" market, pricing low probabilities across 32 phrase outcomes (mostly under 10% Yes shares) after his quiet March 29 golf outing at Trump International Palm Beach yielded no public statements, though elevated volume on "Khamenei" reflects his March 27 Miami Future Investment Initiative speech touting operational successes and a March 29 Truth Social post warning of "twenty times harder" retaliation if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows. Agriculture references like "Ethanol" draw bets from March 27 farmer remarks on aid and fuel expansions, while "Chuck Norris" leads at 25% on idiosyncratic patterns. Upcoming press gaggles or cabinet sessions before April 5 resolution could shift odds on foreign policy or domestic policy terms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$497,636 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
1%
Kaitlan Collins
1%
Eat our Lunch
1%
Ethanol
1%
Embargo
1%
Finish the Job
1%
Khamenei
<1%
Chuck Norris
12%
$497,636 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$21,105 Vol.
1%
Kaitlan Collins
$6,315 Vol.
1%
Eat our Lunch
$4,084 Vol.
1%
Ethanol
$13,052 Vol.
1%
Embargo
$9,513 Vol.
1%
Finish the Job
$5,576 Vol.
1%
Khamenei
$58,706 Vol.
<1%
Chuck Norris
$12,762 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing rhetoric amid U.S.-Iran military tensions dominates trader consensus in the "What will Trump say this week? (March 29)" market, pricing low probabilities across 32 phrase outcomes (mostly under 10% Yes shares) after his quiet March 29 golf outing at Trump International Palm Beach yielded no public statements, though elevated volume on "Khamenei" reflects his March 27 Miami Future Investment Initiative speech touting operational successes and a March 29 Truth Social post warning of "twenty times harder" retaliation if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows. Agriculture references like "Ethanol" draw bets from March 27 farmer remarks on aid and fuel expansions, while "Chuck Norris" leads at 25% on idiosyncratic patterns. Upcoming press gaggles or cabinet sessions before April 5 resolution could shift odds on foreign policy or domestic policy terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$497,636Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing rhetoric amid U.S.-Iran military tensions dominates trader consensus in the "What will Trump say this week? (March 29)" market, pricing low probabilities across 32 phrase outcomes (mostly under 10% Yes shares) after his quiet March 29 golf outing at Trump International Palm Beach yielded no public statements, though elevated volume on "Khamenei" reflects his March 27 Miami Future Investment Initiative speech touting operational successes and a March 29 Truth Social post warning of "twenty times harder" retaliation if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows. Agriculture references like "Ethanol" draw bets from March 27 farmer remarks on aid and fuel expansions, while "Chuck Norris" leads at 25% on idiosyncratic patterns. Upcoming press gaggles or cabinet sessions before April 5 resolution could shift odds on foreign policy or domestic policy terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$497,636Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's ongoing rhetoric amid U.S.-Iran military tensions dominates trader consensus in the "What will Trump say this week? (March 29)" market, pricing low probabilities across 32 phrase outcomes (mostly under 10% Yes shares) after his quiet March 29 golf outing at Trump International Palm Beach yielded no public statements, though elevated volume on "Khamenei" reflects his March 27 Miami Future Investment Initiative speech touting operational successes and a March 29 Truth Social post warning of "twenty times harder" retaliation if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows. Agriculture references like "Ethanol" draw bets from March 27 farmer remarks on aid and fuel expansions, while "Chuck Norris" leads at 25% on idiosyncratic patterns. Upcoming press gaggles or cabinet sessions before April 5 resolution could shift odds on foreign policy or domestic policy terms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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