President Trump’s recent warnings on Iran, including Truth Social posts threatening retaliation twenty times harder if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, have shaped trader consensus in this prediction market tracking specific phrases in his public statements through March 29. Speaking at the Saudi-hosted FII Priority Summit in Miami on March 27, he reiterated terminating the Iran deal and signaled U.S. military resolve amid reports of allied warships deploying; earlier Cabinet remarks on March 26 echoed this hardline foreign policy stance. With a Mar-a-Lago weekend wrapping up Sunday—including possible press interactions—traders weigh his pattern of escalating rhetoric on Middle East tensions against less frequent domestic or offhand topics, amid no confirmed speeches remaining this week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$486,587 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
21%
Kaitlan Collins
2%
Eat our Lunch
2%
Ethanol
11%
Embargo
10%
Finish the Job
50%
Khamenei
17%
Chuck Norris
9%
$486,587 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$20,418 Vol.
21%
Kaitlan Collins
$5,263 Vol.
2%
Eat our Lunch
$2,366 Vol.
2%
Ethanol
$12,172 Vol.
11%
Embargo
$8,803 Vol.
10%
Finish the Job
$4,627 Vol.
50%
Khamenei
$55,328 Vol.
17%
Chuck Norris
$11,123 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump’s recent warnings on Iran, including Truth Social posts threatening retaliation twenty times harder if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, have shaped trader consensus in this prediction market tracking specific phrases in his public statements through March 29. Speaking at the Saudi-hosted FII Priority Summit in Miami on March 27, he reiterated terminating the Iran deal and signaled U.S. military resolve amid reports of allied warships deploying; earlier Cabinet remarks on March 26 echoed this hardline foreign policy stance. With a Mar-a-Lago weekend wrapping up Sunday—including possible press interactions—traders weigh his pattern of escalating rhetoric on Middle East tensions against less frequent domestic or offhand topics, amid no confirmed speeches remaining this week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$486,587Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump’s recent warnings on Iran, including Truth Social posts threatening retaliation twenty times harder if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, have shaped trader consensus in this prediction market tracking specific phrases in his public statements through March 29. Speaking at the Saudi-hosted FII Priority Summit in Miami on March 27, he reiterated terminating the Iran deal and signaled U.S. military resolve amid reports of allied warships deploying; earlier Cabinet remarks on March 26 echoed this hardline foreign policy stance. With a Mar-a-Lago weekend wrapping up Sunday—including possible press interactions—traders weigh his pattern of escalating rhetoric on Middle East tensions against less frequent domestic or offhand topics, amid no confirmed speeches remaining this week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$486,587Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
President Trump’s recent warnings on Iran, including Truth Social posts threatening retaliation twenty times harder if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, have shaped trader consensus in this prediction market tracking specific phrases in his public statements through March 29. Speaking at the Saudi-hosted FII Priority Summit in Miami on March 27, he reiterated terminating the Iran deal and signaled U.S. military resolve amid reports of allied warships deploying; earlier Cabinet remarks on March 26 echoed this hardline foreign policy stance. With a Mar-a-Lago weekend wrapping up Sunday—including possible press interactions—traders weigh his pattern of escalating rhetoric on Middle East tensions against less frequent domestic or offhand topics, amid no confirmed speeches remaining this week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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