President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases during March 23-29. The dominant catalyst was escalating US-Iran tensions, with Trump announcing a five-day postponement of strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure on March 23, citing "very good and productive" talks while warning of severe retaliation if Iran disrupts the Strait of Hormuz oil flow. Subsequent posts reinforced this tough diplomacy, including allied warship deployments and claims of US dominance over Iran. Traders assess probabilities based on his patterns of repetitive rhetoric amid foreign policy pressures, with no major scheduled events but potential for late-week updates on negotiations influencing outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$98,226 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Nasty
1%
Boeing
1%
Ballroom
2%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
4%
Panican
3%
Free Tina Peters
2%
Epic Fury
1%
Bully of the Middle East
4%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
2%
Excursion
<1%
Evil Empire
1%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
4%
Democrat Shutdown
5%
Bomb / Bomber
8%
Impeach / Impeachment
6%
Spain
2%
$98,226 Vol.
Nasty
$9,401 Vol.
1%
Boeing
$10,523 Vol.
1%
Ballroom
$5,691 Vol.
2%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
$6,172 Vol.
4%
Panican
$8,754 Vol.
3%
Free Tina Peters
$4,264 Vol.
2%
Epic Fury
$3,648 Vol.
1%
Bully of the Middle East
$4,360 Vol.
4%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$1,606 Vol.
2%
Excursion
$3,047 Vol.
<1%
Evil Empire
$1,023 Vol.
1%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
$3,498 Vol.
3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$6,259 Vol.
4%
Democrat Shutdown
$8,163 Vol.
5%
Bomb / Bomber
$5,174 Vol.
8%
Impeach / Impeachment
$5,873 Vol.
6%
Spain
$10,770 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases during March 23-29. The dominant catalyst was escalating US-Iran tensions, with Trump announcing a five-day postponement of strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure on March 23, citing "very good and productive" talks while warning of severe retaliation if Iran disrupts the Strait of Hormuz oil flow. Subsequent posts reinforced this tough diplomacy, including allied warship deployments and claims of US dominance over Iran. Traders assess probabilities based on his patterns of repetitive rhetoric amid foreign policy pressures, with no major scheduled events but potential for late-week updates on negotiations influencing outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$98,226Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases during March 23-29. The dominant catalyst was escalating US-Iran tensions, with Trump announcing a five-day postponement of strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure on March 23, citing "very good and productive" talks while warning of severe retaliation if Iran disrupts the Strait of Hormuz oil flow. Subsequent posts reinforced this tough diplomacy, including allied warship deployments and claims of US dominance over Iran. Traders assess probabilities based on his patterns of repetitive rhetoric amid foreign policy pressures, with no major scheduled events but potential for late-week updates on negotiations influencing outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$98,226Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, drives trader sentiment in this market tracking specific phrases during March 23-29. The dominant catalyst was escalating US-Iran tensions, with Trump announcing a five-day postponement of strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure on March 23, citing "very good and productive" talks while warning of severe retaliation if Iran disrupts the Strait of Hormuz oil flow. Subsequent posts reinforced this tough diplomacy, including allied warship deployments and claims of US dominance over Iran. Traders assess probabilities based on his patterns of repetitive rhetoric amid foreign policy pressures, with no major scheduled events but potential for late-week updates on negotiations influencing outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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