The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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