Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

46%

Kevin Warsh

$240m Vol.

$11m today

$7m Liq.

611

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in January?

98%

No change

$445m Vol.

$11m today

$21m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 6 days

Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$3m Vol.

$260k today

$570k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

3 (75 bps)

$3m Vol.

$71.6k today

$854k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

61%

June Meeting

$428k Vol.

$99.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

22%

3.0%

$63.9k Vol.

$190k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

55%

4.4%

$57.1k Vol.

$15.9k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$588k Vol.

$131k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

73%

No change

$739k Vol.

$351k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

1%

$97.8k Vol.

$28.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 9 days

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

94%

↓ 3.25%

$466k Vol.

$141k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.0k Vol.

$99.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

76%

4.4%

$37.0k Vol.

$19.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

73%

December 31

$66.1k Vol.

$11.3k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

34%

$19.6k Vol.

$2.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 9 days

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

53%

No change, Dissents: <2

$16.9k Vol.

$25.5k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Fed Decision in June?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

46%

25 bps decrease

$4.9k Vol.

$157k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

$120k Vol.

$18.4k Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

2%

January 31

$24.4k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jerome Powell

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

47%

1

$19.7k Vol.

$12.6k Liq.

Ends in 6 days