Trader consensus that the Federal Reserve will not be abolished before 2027 rests on the absence of viable legislative momentum and the practical barriers to dissolving a central bank with a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet. The Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act, reintroduced in 2025, remains stalled in committee with narrow cosponsorship and no floor action. Current policy focus centers on internal reforms under Chairman Kevin Warsh, including balance-sheet reduction and staff attrition in supervision, rather than statutory repeal. Any abolition would require congressional majorities to repeal the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, manage an orderly wind-down of monetary operations, and reassign Treasury functions—steps that lack broad bipartisan backing. Late-session shifts, a severe financial crisis, or unexpected leadership changes could theoretically reopen debate, though these remain low-probability paths within the resolution window.