Market icon
Économie·Jerome Powell

Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?

Market icon
Économie·Jerome Powell

Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?

$1,274,993 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$1,274,993 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,5 %

$43,011 Vol.

4%

↑ 5,25 %

$136,294 Vol.

5%

↑ 5,0 %

$10,055 Vol.

4%

↑ 4,75 %

$65,847 Vol.

4%

↑ 4,5 %

$10,462 Vol.

6%

↑ 4,25 %

$21,882 Vol.

10%

↓ 3,25 %

$53,714 Vol.

70%

↓ 3,0 %

$215,939 Vol.

35%

↓ 2,75 %

$250,425 Vol.

19%

↓ 2,5 %

$172,087 Vol.

19%

↓ 2,25 %

$21,904 Vol.

11%

↓ 2,0 %

$15,041 Vol.

11%

↓ 1,75 %

$5,983 Vol.

9%

↓ 1,5 %

$24,836 Vol.

9%

↓ 1,25 %

$893 Vol.

26%

↓ 1,0 %

$0 Vol.

10%

↓ 0,75 %

$388 Vol.

9%

↓ 0,5 %

$89,265 Vol.

5%

↓ 0,25 %

$117,777 Vol.

6%

↓ 0 %

$10,187 Vol.

7%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, citing balanced risks as February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment edged up to 4.4% amid subdued job gains. Polymarket trader sentiment aggregates real-capital bets implying a gradual easing path before 2027, driven by moderating inflation pressures and softening labor market signals, contrasting the Fed's March dot plot forecasting one 25 basis point cut in 2026. CME FedWatch shows near-100% odds of an April 28-29 hold, with key catalysts including tomorrow's March nonfarm payrolls (consensus: 60,000 jobs added, 4.4% unemployment) and March CPI on April 10, alongside June FOMC risks if data weakens further.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,274,993
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, citing balanced risks as February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment edged up to 4.4% amid subdued job gains. Polymarket trader sentiment aggregates real-capital bets implying a gradual easing path before 2027, driven by moderating inflation pressures and softening labor market signals, contrasting the Fed's March dot plot forecasting one 25 basis point cut in 2026. CME FedWatch shows near-100% odds of an April 28-29 hold, with key catalysts including tomorrow's March nonfarm payrolls (consensus: 60,000 jobs added, 4.4% unemployment) and March CPI on April 10, alongside June FOMC risks if data weakens further.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,274,993
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↓ 3,5 % » à 100%, suivi de « ↓ 3,25 % » à 70%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » a généré $1.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est « ↓ 3,5 % » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↓ 3,25 % » à 70%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.