Polymarket traders price a modest edge to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0% at 32% implied probability, amid a tightly contested field where 2.4–2.6% (26.5%) and 1.5–1.7% (26%) outcomes vie closely, reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year, matching the Bank of Korea's (BOK) target and January's print, yet the BOK raised its full-year forecast to 2.2% from 2.1% in its February meeting, citing elevated won depreciation and robust export growth risks. Accelerating producer prices at 2.4% YoY signal pass-through pressures, while global oil volatility and utility subsidies temper near-term upside. Key differentiator: sustained KRW weakness could push toward higher bins, with March CPI data due early April as the next catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour3,0 % + 33%
1,8 % à 2,0 % 27%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 26%
<1,5 % 14.2%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<1,5 %
14%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
28%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
27%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
12%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
26%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
7%
3,0 % +
33%
3,0 % + 33%
1,8 % à 2,0 % 27%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 26%
<1,5 % 14.2%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<1,5 %
$937 Vol.
14%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
$942 Vol.
28%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
$0 Vol.
27%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
$0 Vol.
12%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
$0 Vol.
26%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
$80 Vol.
7%
3,0 % +
$8,048 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a modest edge to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0% at 32% implied probability, amid a tightly contested field where 2.4–2.6% (26.5%) and 1.5–1.7% (26%) outcomes vie closely, reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year, matching the Bank of Korea's (BOK) target and January's print, yet the BOK raised its full-year forecast to 2.2% from 2.1% in its February meeting, citing elevated won depreciation and robust export growth risks. Accelerating producer prices at 2.4% YoY signal pass-through pressures, while global oil volatility and utility subsidies temper near-term upside. Key differentiator: sustained KRW weakness could push toward higher bins, with March CPI data due early April as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$10,007Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a modest edge to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0% at 32% implied probability, amid a tightly contested field where 2.4–2.6% (26.5%) and 1.5–1.7% (26%) outcomes vie closely, reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year, matching the Bank of Korea's (BOK) target and January's print, yet the BOK raised its full-year forecast to 2.2% from 2.1% in its February meeting, citing elevated won depreciation and robust export growth risks. Accelerating producer prices at 2.4% YoY signal pass-through pressures, while global oil volatility and utility subsidies temper near-term upside. Key differentiator: sustained KRW weakness could push toward higher bins, with March CPI data due early April as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$10,007Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a modest edge to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0% at 32% implied probability, amid a tightly contested field where 2.4–2.6% (26.5%) and 1.5–1.7% (26%) outcomes vie closely, reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year, matching the Bank of Korea's (BOK) target and January's print, yet the BOK raised its full-year forecast to 2.2% from 2.1% in its February meeting, citing elevated won depreciation and robust export growth risks. Accelerating producer prices at 2.4% YoY signal pass-through pressures, while global oil volatility and utility subsidies temper near-term upside. Key differentiator: sustained KRW weakness could push toward higher bins, with March CPI data due early April as the next catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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