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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Market icon
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Will Doly Begum win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Doly Begum

$42,734 Vol.

Yes

Will Diana Filipova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Diana Filipova

$4,526 Vol.

No

Will Fatima Shaban win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Fatima Shaban

$9,763 Vol.

No

Will Pooja Malhotra win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Pooja Malhotra

$1,440 Vol.

No

Will Lyall Sanders win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Lyall Sanders

$1,254 Vol.

No

Will April Francisco win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

April Francisco

$1,228 Vol.

No

Will David Vedova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

David Vedova

$1,371 Vol.

No

Will Peter Koubakis win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Peter Koubakis

$1,208 Vol.

No

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$63,524
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$63,524
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Doly Begum » à 100%, suivi de « Diana Filipova » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner » a généré $63.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner » est « Doly Begum » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Diana Filipova » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.