Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke's strong position in the heavily Democratic NY-09 district, encompassing central Brooklyn neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Brownsville, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent lopsided partisan margins and Clarke's history of easy reelections. With the June 23 primaries approaching, Clarke faces Democratic challengers Joshua Bristol, Michael Goldfarb, and Joshua Kaitan Lucas, while Republicans have Joel Anabilah-Azumah and Jean Depalis; no polls show competitiveness. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset weakening the Democratic nominee, a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke's strong position in the heavily Democratic NY-09 district, encompassing central Brooklyn neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Brownsville, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent lopsided partisan margins and Clarke's history of easy reelections. With the June 23 primaries approaching, Clarke faces Democratic challengers Joshua Bristol, Michael Goldfarb, and Joshua Kaitan Lucas, while Republicans have Joel Anabilah-Azumah and Jean Depalis; no polls show competitiveness. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset weakening the Democratic nominee, a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke's strong position in the heavily Democratic NY-09 district, encompassing central Brooklyn neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Brownsville, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent lopsided partisan margins and Clarke's history of easy reelections. With the June 23 primaries approaching, Clarke faces Democratic challengers Joshua Bristol, Michael Goldfarb, and Joshua Kaitan Lucas, while Republicans have Joel Anabilah-Azumah and Jean Depalis; no polls show competitiveness. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset weakening the Democratic nominee, a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke's strong position in the heavily Democratic NY-09 district, encompassing central Brooklyn neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Brownsville, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent lopsided partisan margins and Clarke's history of easy reelections. With the June 23 primaries approaching, Clarke faces Democratic challengers Joshua Bristol, Michael Goldfarb, and Joshua Kaitan Lucas, while Republicans have Joel Anabilah-Azumah and Jean Depalis; no polls show competitiveness. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset weakening the Democratic nominee, a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes