Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability on 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29, driven by official data through March 26 totaling 9.94 million over four days at a 2.48 million daily average—on pace for the target range assuming typical weekend volumes around 2.4-2.6 million each for March 27-29 amid spring break demand. Ongoing partial DHS funding lapse has triggered record TSA officer absences exceeding 10% and four-hour security lines at major hubs like Atlanta and Houston, with ICE agents assisting at 14 airports, yet screening throughput holds firm despite 9% year-over-year declines. March 27 figures, released Friday, and final weekend tallies will confirm resolution per TSA's daily reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour17.5-18m 95%
<17.5m 4%
18-18.5m 3.4%
18.5-19m <1%
$19,982 Vol.
$19,982 Vol.
<17.5m
4%
17.5-18m
89%
18-18.5m
3%
18.5-19m
1%
19-19.5m
<1%
>19.5m
<1%
17.5-18m 95%
<17.5m 4%
18-18.5m 3.4%
18.5-19m <1%
$19,982 Vol.
$19,982 Vol.
<17.5m
4%
17.5-18m
89%
18-18.5m
3%
18.5-19m
1%
19-19.5m
<1%
>19.5m
<1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability on 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29, driven by official data through March 26 totaling 9.94 million over four days at a 2.48 million daily average—on pace for the target range assuming typical weekend volumes around 2.4-2.6 million each for March 27-29 amid spring break demand. Ongoing partial DHS funding lapse has triggered record TSA officer absences exceeding 10% and four-hour security lines at major hubs like Atlanta and Houston, with ICE agents assisting at 14 airports, yet screening throughput holds firm despite 9% year-over-year declines. March 27 figures, released Friday, and final weekend tallies will confirm resolution per TSA's daily reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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