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Élections·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

Market icon
Élections·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

$53,035 Vol.

Polymarket

$53,035 Vol.

Bernard Drainville sera-t-il le prochain Premier ministre du Québec à la suite des élections à la direction de la CAQ en 2026 ? icon

Bernard Drainville

$22,653 Vol.

Non

Christine Fréchette sera-t-elle la prochaine première ministre du Québec à la suite des élections à la direction de la CAQ en 2026 ? icon

Christine Fréchette

$30,382 Vol.

Oui

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette's commanding 100% trader consensus as next Premier of Quebec stems from her victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race on April 12, 2026, defeating rival Bernard Drainville to succeed outgoing Premier François Legault, leader of the governing party since 2018. As CAQ holds a majority in the National Assembly, Fréchette, a former economy minister and Sanguinet MNA, will be sworn in imminently, formalizing her role ahead of the October 2026 general election. This reflects the institutional certainty of party leadership transitions in Quebec's parliamentary system. Realistic challenges include an early no-confidence vote, snap election called by Fréchette herself, or internal party revolt, though historical precedents favor stability for new incumbents.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,035
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette's commanding 100% trader consensus as next Premier of Quebec stems from her victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race on April 12, 2026, defeating rival Bernard Drainville to succeed outgoing Premier François Legault, leader of the governing party since 2018. As CAQ holds a majority in the National Assembly, Fréchette, a former economy minister and Sanguinet MNA, will be sworn in imminently, formalizing her role ahead of the October 2026 general election. This reflects the institutional certainty of party leadership transitions in Quebec's parliamentary system. Realistic challenges include an early no-confidence vote, snap election called by Fréchette herself, or internal party revolt, though historical precedents favor stability for new incumbents.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,035
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Christine Fréchette » à 100%, suivi de « Bernard Drainville » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » a généré $53K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain premier ministre du Québec », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est « Christine Fréchette » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernard Drainville » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.