Ongoing Gaza war and hostage crisis fuel persistent protests and low Netanyahu approval ratings around 30%, driving trader consensus toward longer timelines for his exit despite opposition poll leads of 10+ points. His coalition survived Benny Gantz's June war cabinet departure via a narrow confidence vote, bolstered by far-right allies amid recent Hezbollah and Iran escalations that rallied nationalist backing. No snap election trigger exists before November 2026, but fiscal pressures loom with the March 2025 state budget deadline potentially fracturing unity. Polls reflect trader caution on near-term removal absent major catalysts like a hostage deal or judicial ruling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetanyahou sortira d'ici... ?
Netanyahou sortira d'ici... ?
$59,132,124 Vol.
31 mars
1%
30 avril
4%
30 juin
11%
31 décembre
48%
$59,132,124 Vol.
31 mars
1%
30 avril
4%
30 juin
11%
31 décembre
48%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Gaza war and hostage crisis fuel persistent protests and low Netanyahu approval ratings around 30%, driving trader consensus toward longer timelines for his exit despite opposition poll leads of 10+ points. His coalition survived Benny Gantz's June war cabinet departure via a narrow confidence vote, bolstered by far-right allies amid recent Hezbollah and Iran escalations that rallied nationalist backing. No snap election trigger exists before November 2026, but fiscal pressures loom with the March 2025 state budget deadline potentially fracturing unity. Polls reflect trader caution on near-term removal absent major catalysts like a hostage deal or judicial ruling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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