Netanyahu's coalition stability anchors current trader consensus against a near-term ouster, as the premier narrowly defeated a Knesset dissolution vote in June 2024 over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, preserving his narrow majority despite Benny Gantz's war cabinet resignation and mounting protests. Polls consistently show opposition leaders like Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett ahead by double digits if snap elections occur, fueled by Gaza war frustrations, hostage release delays, and ICC arrest warrant requests. Upcoming Supreme Court rulings on conscription, the 2025 budget passage by March, and potential ceasefire breakthroughs could trigger volatility, though no election date is set amid ongoing security threats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetanyahou sortira d'ici... ?
Netanyahou sortira d'ici... ?
$59,229,760 Vol.
31 mars
1%
30 avril
5%
30 juin
12%
31 décembre
48%
$59,229,760 Vol.
31 mars
1%
30 avril
5%
30 juin
12%
31 décembre
48%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Netanyahu's coalition stability anchors current trader consensus against a near-term ouster, as the premier narrowly defeated a Knesset dissolution vote in June 2024 over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, preserving his narrow majority despite Benny Gantz's war cabinet resignation and mounting protests. Polls consistently show opposition leaders like Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett ahead by double digits if snap elections occur, fueled by Gaza war frustrations, hostage release delays, and ICC arrest warrant requests. Upcoming Supreme Court rulings on conscription, the 2025 budget passage by March, and potential ceasefire breakthroughs could trigger volatility, though no election date is set amid ongoing security threats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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