Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race following her ranked-choice primary victory and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Bobby Charles. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Janet Mills has favored the Democratic candidate, with surveys from sources including the University of New Hampshire and Siena showing Pingree at 49-53% support compared to Charles at 35-42%, alongside limited backing for independents such as Rick Bennett. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for a Democratic winner aligns with these polling averages and nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high independent turnout, late campaign developments, or ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidate opposition support, though current evidence indicates substantial barriers to a Republican outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$27,953 Vol.
$27,953 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
95%
Républicain
5%
$27,953 Vol.
$27,953 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$22,004 Vol.
95%
Républicain
$5,948 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race following her ranked-choice primary victory and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Bobby Charles. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Janet Mills has favored the Democratic candidate, with surveys from sources including the University of New Hampshire and Siena showing Pingree at 49-53% support compared to Charles at 35-42%, alongside limited backing for independents such as Rick Bennett. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for a Democratic winner aligns with these polling averages and nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high independent turnout, late campaign developments, or ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidate opposition support, though current evidence indicates substantial barriers to a Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$27,953Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race following her ranked-choice primary victory and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Bobby Charles. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Janet Mills has favored the Democratic candidate, with surveys from sources including the University of New Hampshire and Siena showing Pingree at 49-53% support compared to Charles at 35-42%, alongside limited backing for independents such as Rick Bennett. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for a Democratic winner aligns with these polling averages and nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high independent turnout, late campaign developments, or ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidate opposition support, though current evidence indicates substantial barriers to a Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$27,953Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race following her ranked-choice primary victory and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Bobby Charles. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Janet Mills has favored the Democratic candidate, with surveys from sources including the University of New Hampshire and Siena showing Pingree at 49-53% support compared to Charles at 35-42%, alongside limited backing for independents such as Rick Bennett. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for a Democratic winner aligns with these polling averages and nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high independent turnout, late campaign developments, or ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidate opposition support, though current evidence indicates substantial barriers to a Republican outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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