Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-26
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-26
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
4%
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
$14,443 Vol.
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
$12,193 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$26,636Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,636Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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