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Politique·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ?

Market icon
Politique·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
1
Temps restant
TWEETS
1
Temps restant

<20 79%

20-39 14%

60-79 4.8%

120-139 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<20 79%

20-39 14%

60-79 4.8%

120-139 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$3,849 Vol.

79%

20-39

$352 Vol.

14%

40-59

$417 Vol.

2%

60-79

$997 Vol.

5%

80-99

$326 Vol.

3%

100-119

$328 Vol.

3%

120-139

$346 Vol.

4%

140-159

$353 Vol.

1%

160-179

$344 Vol.

4%

180-199

$391 Vol.

2%

200+

$469 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting the account's low posting frequency since his assassination on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and posts consist of archival quotes from past years—such as recent ones on March 26 (two, dated 2019 and 2024) and March 27 (one, from 2024)—averaging roughly one every 2-3 days in March amid a 40-day mourning period. This sporadic activity by his office, against a backdrop of leadership transition pressures and restrained diplomatic signals from Iran, underpins the 79% implied probability for <20, with higher bins trailing due to historical base rates under one post daily.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting the account's low posting frequency since his assassination on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and posts consist of archival quotes from past years—such as recent ones on March 26 (two, dated 2019 and 2024) and March 27 (one, from 2024)—averaging roughly one every 2-3 days in March amid a 40-day mourning period. This sporadic activity by his office, against a backdrop of leadership transition pressures and restrained diplomatic signals from Iran, underpins the 79% implied probability for <20, with higher bins trailing due to historical base rates under one post daily.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting the account's low posting frequency since his assassination on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and posts consist of archival quotes from past years—such as recent ones on March 26 (two, dated 2019 and 2024) and March 27 (one, from 2024)—averaging roughly one every 2-3 days in March amid a 40-day mourning period. This sporadic activity by his office, against a backdrop of leadership transition pressures and restrained diplomatic signals from Iran, underpins the 79% implied probability for <20, with higher bins trailing due to historical base rates under one post daily.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting the account's low posting frequency since his assassination on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and posts consist of archival quotes from past years—such as recent ones on March 26 (two, dated 2019 and 2024) and March 27 (one, from 2024)—averaging roughly one every 2-3 days in March amid a 40-day mourning period. This sporadic activity by his office, against a backdrop of leadership transition pressures and restrained diplomatic signals from Iran, underpins the 79% implied probability for <20, with higher bins trailing due to historical base rates under one post daily.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <20 » à 79%, suivi de « 20-39 » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ? » est « <20 » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 20-39 » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 27 mars - 3 avril 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.