Trader consensus in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary favors former acting Gov. Jeff Colyer (34.5%) by a slim margin over Senate President Ty Masterson (33.5%), capturing the uncertainty of an early 2026 contest lacking comprehensive polls. This tightness stems from both candidates' strong establishment credentials—Colyer's brief executive experience in 2018 and Masterson's leadership in passing conservative budgets—coupled with roughly equal early fundraising around $300,000 each. Outsider Philip Sarnecki trails at 12.7% on grassroots appeal. Separation could arise from initial public opinion surveys expected later this year, major endorsements like national GOP figures, or Q3 finance reports due soon, potentially shifting trader probabilities amid Kansas Republicans' preference for proven insiders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJeff Colyer 35%
Ty Masterson 34%
Philip Sarnecki 12.7%
Charlotte O’Hara 4.4%
Jeff Colyer
35%
Ty Masterson
34%
Philip Sarnecki
13%
Charlotte O’Hara
4%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Vicki Schmidt
2%
Scott Schwab
1%
Jeff Colyer 35%
Ty Masterson 34%
Philip Sarnecki 12.7%
Charlotte O’Hara 4.4%
Jeff Colyer
35%
Ty Masterson
34%
Philip Sarnecki
13%
Charlotte O’Hara
4%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Vicki Schmidt
2%
Scott Schwab
1%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary favors former acting Gov. Jeff Colyer (34.5%) by a slim margin over Senate President Ty Masterson (33.5%), capturing the uncertainty of an early 2026 contest lacking comprehensive polls. This tightness stems from both candidates' strong establishment credentials—Colyer's brief executive experience in 2018 and Masterson's leadership in passing conservative budgets—coupled with roughly equal early fundraising around $300,000 each. Outsider Philip Sarnecki trails at 12.7% on grassroots appeal. Separation could arise from initial public opinion surveys expected later this year, major endorsements like national GOP figures, or Q3 finance reports due soon, potentially shifting trader probabilities amid Kansas Republicans' preference for proven insiders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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