State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
Non
Kina Collins
Non
Melissa Conyears Ervin
Non
Anthony Driver Jr.
Non
David Ehrlich
Non
Thomas Fisher
Non
La Shawn Ford
Oui
Jason Friedman
Non
Rory Hoskins
Non
Anabel Mendoza
Non
Jazmin Robinson
Non
Reed Showalter
Non
Felix Tello
Non
La Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
Non
Kina Collins
Non
Melissa Conyears Ervin
Non
Anthony Driver Jr.
Non
David Ehrlich
Non
Thomas Fisher
Non
La Shawn Ford
Oui
Jason Friedman
Non
Rory Hoskins
Non
Anabel Mendoza
Non
Jazmin Robinson
Non
Reed Showalter
Non
Felix Tello
Non
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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