40-45m 100.0%
<40m <1%
45-50m <1%
50-55m <1%
$147,729 Vol.
$147,729 Vol.
Oct 1, 2024
<40m
$33,778 Vol.
No
40-45m
$14,768 Vol.
Yes
45-50m
$12,259 Vol.
No
50-55m
$10,430 Vol.
No
55-60m
$12,073 Vol.
No
60-65m
$12,014 Vol.
No
65m+
$52,407 Vol.
No
This market refers to the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance during the 2024 election cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance, currently scheduled for October 1, 2024 has fewer than 40,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.This market refers to the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance during the 2024 election cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance, currently scheduled for October 1, 2024 has fewer than 40,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance, currently scheduled for October 1, 2024 has fewer than 40,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Créé le : Sep 25, 2024, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$147,729Date de fin
Oct 1, 2024Créé le
Sep 25, 2024, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
40-45m 100.0%
<40m <1%
45-50m <1%
50-55m <1%
$147,729 Vol.
$147,729 Vol.
Oct 1, 2024
<40m
$33,778 Vol.
No
40-45m
$14,768 Vol.
Yes
45-50m
$12,259 Vol.
No
50-55m
$10,430 Vol.
No
55-60m
$12,073 Vol.
No
60-65m
$12,014 Vol.
No
65m+
$52,407 Vol.
No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"How many viewers will the VP debate get?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-45m" at 100%, followed by "<40m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "How many viewers will the VP debate get?" has generated $147.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "How many viewers will the VP debate get?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "How many viewers will the VP debate get?" is "40-45m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<40m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "How many viewers will the VP debate get?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions