Combien de lancements de SpaceX Starship atteindront l'espace en 2026 ?
Combien de lancements de SpaceX Starship atteindront l'espace en 2026 ?
5-6 37%
<5 20%
7-8 14%
9-10 11%
$54,735 Vol.
$54,735 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
27%
5-6
37%
7-8
14%
9-10
11%
11-12
2%
13-14
1%
15-16
2%
>16
6%
5-6 37%
<5 20%
7-8 14%
9-10 11%
$54,735 Vol.
$54,735 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$47,032 Vol.
27%
5-6
$0 Vol.
37%
7-8
$0 Vol.
14%
9-10
$0 Vol.
11%
11-12
$0 Vol.
2%
13-14
$0 Vol.
1%
15-16
$0 Vol.
2%
>16
$7,703 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$54,735Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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