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Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

$680,201 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$680,201 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$186,620 Vol.

<1%

30 avril

$114,881 Vol.

80%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.**NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands on the cusp of launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, fueling trader consensus for an imminent lunar flyby.** The four-astronaut crew—led by Commander Reid Wiseman—arrived on March 27 to complete final suit-ups and briefings, following the SLS-Orion stack's mid-March rollout after resolving minor upper-stage issues and a successful February wet dress rehearsal. This accelerated timeline, with countdown clocks activated two days ago, reflects robust progress in deep-space systems testing despite historical SLS delays. Traders eye weather windows and last-minute technical checks as swing factors, with the 10-day mission validating life support and reentry capabilities ahead of Artemis III landings.

**NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands on the cusp of launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, fueling trader consensus for an imminent lunar flyby.** The four-astronaut crew—led by Commander Reid Wiseman—arrived on March 27 to complete final suit-ups and briefings, following the SLS-Orion stack's mid-March rollout after resolving minor upper-stage issues and a successful February wet dress rehearsal. This accelerated timeline, with countdown clocks activated two days ago, reflects robust progress in deep-space systems testing despite historical SLS delays. Traders eye weather windows and last-minute technical checks as swing factors, with the 10-day mission validating life support and reentry capabilities ahead of Artemis III landings.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.**NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands on the cusp of launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, fueling trader consensus for an imminent lunar flyby.** The four-astronaut crew—led by Commander Reid Wiseman—arrived on March 27 to complete final suit-ups and briefings, following the SLS-Orion stack's mid-March rollout after resolving minor upper-stage issues and a successful February wet dress rehearsal. This accelerated timeline, with countdown clocks activated two days ago, reflects robust progress in deep-space systems testing despite historical SLS delays. Traders eye weather windows and last-minute technical checks as swing factors, with the 10-day mission validating life support and reentry capabilities ahead of Artemis III landings.

**NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands on the cusp of launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, fueling trader consensus for an imminent lunar flyby.** The four-astronaut crew—led by Commander Reid Wiseman—arrived on March 27 to complete final suit-ups and briefings, following the SLS-Orion stack's mid-March rollout after resolving minor upper-stage issues and a successful February wet dress rehearsal. This accelerated timeline, with countdown clocks activated two days ago, reflects robust progress in deep-space systems testing despite historical SLS delays. Traders eye weather windows and last-minute technical checks as swing factors, with the 10-day mission validating life support and reentry capabilities ahead of Artemis III landings.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« NASA Artemis II » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril » à 80%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 80¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 80% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « NASA Artemis II » a généré $680.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « NASA Artemis II », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « NASA Artemis II » est « 30 avril » à 80%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 80% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « NASA Artemis II » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.