Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?
Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?
1 (25 bps) 30%
2 (50 pb) 28%
0 (0 bps) 12.8%
3 (75 points de base) 12%
$8,424,825 Vol.
$8,424,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0 (0 bps)
13%
1 (25 bps)
30%
2 (50 pb)
28%
3 (75 points de base)
12%
4 (100 pb)
8%
5 (125 pb)
5%
6 (150 points de base)
2%
7 (175 points de base)
2%
8 (200 points de base)
1%
9 (225 points de base)
1%
10 (250 pb)
1%
11 (275 points de base)
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
2%
1 (25 bps) 30%
2 (50 pb) 28%
0 (0 bps) 12.8%
3 (75 points de base) 12%
$8,424,825 Vol.
$8,424,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0 (0 bps)
$1,740,304 Vol.
13%
1 (25 bps)
$572,866 Vol.
30%
2 (50 pb)
$517,454 Vol.
28%
3 (75 points de base)
$374,050 Vol.
12%
4 (100 pb)
$366,982 Vol.
8%
5 (125 pb)
$332,997 Vol.
5%
6 (150 points de base)
$1,368,505 Vol.
2%
7 (175 points de base)
$407,710 Vol.
2%
8 (200 points de base)
$493,610 Vol.
1%
9 (225 points de base)
$364,624 Vol.
1%
10 (250 pb)
$388,281 Vol.
1%
11 (275 points de base)
$419,658 Vol.
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$1,077,785 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Marché ouvert : Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,424,825Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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