Combien de baisses des taux d'intérêt de la Fed en 2026 ?
3 (75 points de base) 27%
2 (50 pb) 23%
4 (100 pb) 16%
1 (25 bps) 14%
$3,261,034 Vol.
$3,261,034 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
$516,557 Vol.
7%
0 (0 bps)
$516,557 Vol.
7%
1 (25 bps)
$290,453 Vol.
14%
1 (25 bps)
$290,453 Vol.
14%
2 (50 pb)
$300,775 Vol.
23%
2 (50 pb)
$300,775 Vol.
23%
3 (75 points de base)
$204,776 Vol.
27%
3 (75 points de base)
$204,776 Vol.
27%
4 (100 pb)
$174,144 Vol.
16%
4 (100 pb)
$174,144 Vol.
16%
5 (125 pb)
$201,146 Vol.
7%
5 (125 pb)
$201,146 Vol.
7%
6 (150 points de base)
$216,658 Vol.
4%
6 (150 points de base)
$216,658 Vol.
4%
7 (175 points de base)
$173,927 Vol.
2%
7 (175 points de base)
$173,927 Vol.
2%
8 (200 points de base)
$269,070 Vol.
1%
8 (200 points de base)
$269,070 Vol.
1%
9 (225 points de base)
$208,302 Vol.
1%
9 (225 points de base)
$208,302 Vol.
1%
10 (250 pb)
$222,988 Vol.
1%
10 (250 pb)
$222,988 Vol.
1%
11 (275 points de base)
$232,599 Vol.
<1%
11 (275 points de base)
$232,599 Vol.
<1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$249,639 Vol.
2%
12+ (300+ bps)
$249,639 Vol.
2%
Règles
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Créé le : Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de baisses des taux d'intérêt de la Fed en 2026 ?
3 (75 points de base) 27%
2 (50 pb) 23%
4 (100 pb) 16%
1 (25 bps) 14%
$3,261,034 Vol.
$3,261,034 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
7%
1 (25 bps)
14%
2 (50 pb)
23%
3 (75 points de base)
27%
4 (100 pb)
16%
5 (125 pb)
7%
6 (150 points de base)
4%
7 (175 points de base)
2%
8 (200 points de base)
1%
9 (225 points de base)
1%
10 (250 pb)
1%
11 (275 points de base)
<1%
12+ (300+ bps)
2%
À propos
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.